33 Comments
Mar 1, 2023Liked by alwaysinvert

impressive detective work.

keep reminding all of the min. $40 value !

always a bit late, morningstar now has fair value at $30, but "more" if towers and fintech separated. shout out again to keith smith of bonhoeffer; has been the most judicious in covering this name the past few years.

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What do you believe the most likely price for a first tender offer would be now? 25 USD?

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Hi!

Thanks for your fantastic coverage of the Millicom story! Have one question;

Do you think Xavier has the muscle to take the entire company private? I realize he's a rich guy, but isn't exactly easy to borrow the amount of money needed, even if you succeed in keeping the debt in place.

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Do you know when they have to disclose that the takeover talks are over, if that happens? Is there like a timeframe, say within 24 hours after both parties have left the table?

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wouldn't u reckon that a takeover bid (by APO / Claure parties) would most certainly involved Xavier given his ownership stake ?

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What would you say is the probability of a takeover bid in the near future? I must say I’ve become a lot more doubtful. It was quite clear from the 13D that Xavier is not going to bid for the whole company. And Apollo will most likely back away. Right?

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Great part 2 update !! Just curious, why u reckon Niel was (is) buying the SDR (swedish depository receipt) instead of the US Nasdaq listed TIGO ?

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Great post! What happens in case Niel goes above the mandatory bid level by Millicom buying back shares? In this case does he have to make an offer at all?

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